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Post by class70 on Nov 17, 2014 8:56:24 GMT -5
A sample size of one is not statistically informative, but the Dartmouth game has boosted the Bonnies' power ratings. Now ranked 97th on Pomeroy, the men in brown have moved up to 83rd in the TeamRankings model, which puts us the 6th highest in the A10. Saturday night's results were outstanding in the turnover and steals departments, which puts our team stats at 8th nationwide in steals/game and 14th in turnovers/game.
TeamRankings gives us a high probability of beating Siena:81.9%. However, I think we were favored last year as well, so don't bet the farm on this being anything but a hard-fought game. Go Bonnies!
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Post by class70 on Nov 17, 2014 10:50:16 GMT -5
Speaking of the Siena game, I have been watching the weather reports from afar and it looks like WNY is about to get several feet of lake effect snow. Please get the dogsled teams out and make sure all the satellite uplinks are operating so we can get the Saints into the RC for a rollicking good time and get the video out for all of us far flung alumni.
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Post by birdman on Nov 21, 2014 1:08:57 GMT -5
Siena stomps the Bonnies!
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Post by class70 on Nov 21, 2014 10:19:53 GMT -5
The Bonnies have behaved skittishly in the first two games. Skittish is not a curse word, but it does describe an emerging pattern of instability: we rank 239th in first-half points scored but improve to 20th in second-half points scored. The loss to Siena has dropped Bona's power rating to 104th on TeamRankings and to 114th on Pomeroy. Team projects a final record of 16-13 with 9-9 in conference, so it's a fairly even bet we'll be in the hunt for a tourney bid this season. Team strengths include blocks/game (64th in Division I) and offensive rebounds/game (ranked 17th).
The Golden Griffs will help add definition to what sort of team we have. At 178th on TeamRankings they are very close to the median for all Division I. We know they will be disciplined, well-coached, and eager to redeem themselves after last year's humiliating defeat. There should be a lot of larceny attempts in this game: Canisius ranks 31st in steals/game and 35th in opponents' steals/game. The Bonnies rank 69th in steals/game, so it will be interesting to see which team has the stickier fingers.
Caveat emptor: we can't know much after just two games, especially with Gregg and Gathers still on the sidelines. By the time the OOC schedule is complete, we'll have a pretty good idea, but we hope we'll see a pattern of continuing improvement from now until March.
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Post by class70 on Nov 21, 2014 13:26:52 GMT -5
I'm sure someone in the SBU Athletic Office has run the numbers and can say definitively whether there has been any significant change. Here is a quick and dirty look at the second home game in the RC for the previous five years:
2013 vs. Abilene Christian: 3042
2012 vs. UB: 4485
2011 vs. Cornell: 4423
2010 vs. Arkansas Little Rock: 2809
2009 vs. Binghamton: 4333
I'm inclined to think we have a base attendance of 2800 and we get another 500-600 if the opponent is within a short drive of Olean.
As to entertainment dollar value, watching Division I talent for $10 to $20 per seat is a sweet deal in my book. I don't think live video is hurting much either. It gets faraway alumni like me involved in the team, more likely to contribute to the BAF and much more likely to make one or two trips a year to see some live action.
Edit: Sorry, I meant to post this on that thread that discusses RC attendance.
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