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Post by bigdobber on Sept 5, 2009 11:13:28 GMT -5
Is there any way to project the SOS or does it evolve based on how the opponents are doing? I would think ours should jump significantly compared to the past few years. I also think that the league under the new commissioner will continue to emphasize beefing up OOC schedules across the board for all members. The A10 needs to have 3 teams in the NCAA on a regular basis for a team like Bonas to get a shot at a berth. Schmidt and Watson are making all the right moves to put us in a position as an at large sometime during Andrew Nicholsons career.
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Post by Chuck on Sept 5, 2009 13:40:45 GMT -5
Is there any way to project the SOS or does it evolve based on how the opponents are doing? SOS is based completely on a team's results and their opponent's team results. SOS can't be projected and continually evolves throughout the season. SOS and RPI should not be accepted as science. There is too much significance given to them. Take St. Bonaventure and Robert Morris as an example. 1. St. Bonaventure had a better SOS than Robert Morris. 2. St. Bonaventure defeated Robert Morris. 3. St. Bonaventure had more wins against teams with RPI's from 101-200 (Bonas 6-3 and RMU 5-2). 4. Neither team won a game against a team with a RPI less than a 100, but the Bonnies played 8 of these game compared to only 5 for RMU. 5. RMU's best win was against Mount St. Mary with a 121 RPI. Bonnies had 2 wins against teams with better RPI's. Win against Richmond (125 RPI) just misses. 6. Record against 6 common opponents (Rutgers, Delaware, Marist, St. Francis Pa, Duquesne, Xavier). Bona's record was 3-3 and RMU was 2-4. 7. Result of the above. RMU has a much better RPI. Robert Morris finished the season with a 107 RPI, while Bonnies RPI is 200. The above shows Robert Morris 9 more wins were much more important than Bonnies better performance against teams with comparable RPIs, common opponents and Bonas better SOS. For RPI purposes, it is better to play weaker teams Bonnies can beat than stronger teams that result in a loss. Wins are more important than SOS. warrennolan.com/basketball/2009/schedule/St.%20Bonaventurewarrennolan.com/basketball/2009/schedule/Robert%20Morris |
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Post by LumsdnA10Academc98 on Sept 5, 2009 15:46:27 GMT -5
The A10 needs to have 3 teams in the NCAA on a regular basis for a team like Bonas to get a shot at a berth. That's not true. If we finish, say, 21-11 with a quality resume in a season in which the A-10 has a decent or better year by A-10 standards, we'll receive just as much consideration as any other team. Just because the A-10 has been a two-bid league (and has been fortunate to even be that) in the recent past has no real implication on future bids. The A-10 can get four bids in a year, or it can get one. |
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Post by Chuck on Sept 5, 2009 17:13:15 GMT -5
Importance of SOS? Temple is a perfect example of SOS being over rated. Last year the NCAA selection committee said Temple needed to win the A-10 to receive a bid. Last year Temple had the 17th best non-conference SOS in the nation (link below), along with a 22-12 record. Fortunately for Temple they won the A-10. Instead of going 8-6 against the 17th best non-conference SOS in the nation, Temple would have been better off with Dayton's cream puff non-conference schedule. Dayton went 14-1 against the 194th non-conference SOS. Having identical A-10 records, Dayton is given an at large bid while Temple has to win A-10 for a bid. Wins are more important than SOS. kenpom.com/rate.php |
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