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Post by B02 on Dec 16, 2009 14:43:54 GMT -5
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Post by Bona84 on Dec 16, 2009 15:16:47 GMT -5
I like Pomeroy's system, and it will be interesting to see how accurate that turns out. He also predicts an 8-8 conference record, which would be great. His current rating has the Bonnies at 106, which you would think would mean NIT bubble. It may be tougher to make the NIT these days, since they provide automatic bids to conference regular season champs who lose in their tourneys and do not make the NCAA. Also, I could be wrong, but did they reduce the number of teams in the NIT?
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Post by diehard on Dec 16, 2009 20:09:11 GMT -5
I think the Bonnies will have to win more like 19 or 20 games to make the NIT. Please note that the NIT was sold to the NCAA (who caters to big, public run schools) in 2005 and the format has changed and it is much harder to get invited. Especially if you are a small not nationally recognized program.
First, there are only 32 teams rather than 40 (no more byes and play-in games).
Second, The NCAA announced a revamped selection process starting with the 2006 tournament.
The main highlights are:
A) Teams are no longer required to have .500 or greater records to receive bids. Even with this change, however, all teams receiving invitations for the NIT, to date, have had a record of at least .500.
B) Similar to the automatic bids the NCAA Tournament grants for all conference tournament champions, all teams that won regular-season conference championships but failed to earn NCAA tournament bids are guaranteed places in the NIT.
Item A above means that Duke (or name a brand name big State school) with a 0.500 record would be chosen over Bonas.
Item B means a lot of weaker conferences take spots as there are normally quite a few conference tournament upsets in those conferences (including the A-10).
Therefore, Bona's probably has only a slightly better chance of making the NIT now than the NCAA.
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