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Post by DemBonnies on Jan 31, 2024 12:45:17 GMT -5
You hate playing the what-if game, but remove the Canisus home L, and our NET 69 would have to jump by a good 5-10 spots, at least, you’d think. How about the "what if we didn't take a 9 min power nap against FAU in Springfield?"
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Post by trout95 on Jan 31, 2024 13:05:24 GMT -5
You hate playing the what-if game, but remove the Canisus home L, and our NET 69 would have to jump by a good 5-10 spots, at least, you’d think. How about the "what if we didn't take a 9 min power nap against FAU in Springfield?" Or Fordham..? Anyway... lots to be optimistic about with 2nd half of A10 schedule. This Friday will be the toughest test. If they play to their ability, stay consistent, we can attain top 4 before the A10 tourney.
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Post by BONA82.5 on Feb 4, 2024 7:53:52 GMT -5
A10 Teams (Updated 2/4/2024) TOP 10 ONLY
17 Dayton Atlantic 10 18-3 69 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 13-8 75 Richmond Atlantic 10 16-6 86 VCU Atlantic 10 14-8 87 George Mason Atlantic 10 14-7 88 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 15-7 92 UMASS Atlantic 10 14-7 98 Duquesne Atlantic 10 12-8 118 Loyola Atlantic 10 13-7 121 Davidson Atlantic 10 12-8
** LUNARDI had Richmond "in" before yesterday's loss to VCU ...
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Post by letsgobonas on Feb 4, 2024 9:09:24 GMT -5
Considering we're 8th in the conference standings right now, this is an indication of our potential... as confirmed on Friday, we can beat anybody in this league!
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u518370
Junior Member
Robert Blackwell will forever be my favorite. Go Bonnies!
Posts: 398
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Post by u518370 on Feb 4, 2024 10:01:03 GMT -5
Considering we're 8th in the conference standings right now, this is an indication of our potential... as confirmed on Friday, we can beat anybody in this league! While it may very well be an indication of our "potential", it is more accurately a reflection of our performance so far. Put another way, we are the 2nd best team in the A10 based on how each of the teams have played so far this year. While our overall ranking (78) is a bit lower (higher?) on KenPom, that ranking system still shows us as the 2nd best A10 team. I think we may be the favorite in all nine of our remaining games, so the opportunity to secure 10+ conference wins and a double bye is very much alive. Time to prove these ranking systems right Go Bonnies!
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Post by zorro (res) on Feb 4, 2024 11:54:03 GMT -5
A10 Teams (Updated 2/4/2024) TOP 10 ONLY 17 Dayton Atlantic 10 18-3 69 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 13-8 75 Richmond Atlantic 10 16-6 86 VCU Atlantic 10 14-8 87 George Mason Atlantic 10 14-7 88 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 15-7 92 UMASS Atlantic 10 14-7 98 Duquesne Atlantic 10 12-8 118 Loyola Atlantic 10 13-7 121 Davidson Atlantic 10 12-8 ** LUNARDI had Richmond "in" before yesterday's loss to VCU ... He, and others, have Richmond "in" because they were (and still are) in first place in the conference and therefore assumed to be the automatic qualifier. There is no way at the moment that they are in the running for an at-large.
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Post by BONA82.5 on Feb 5, 2024 5:33:34 GMT -5
Agreed on RICHMOND. Regular season A10 Champion and a NET of 50 or less MIGHT get it done for them ... As it stands today - no dice for an AT LARGE bid for Spidey ...
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Post by kccgold on Feb 5, 2024 12:56:55 GMT -5
Why though? Richmond is 16-6 and 8-1 in Atlantic 10 play. They have no bad losses. Their worst loss was AT Wichita State, that's not bad, certainly cancelled out by their best win vs. Dayton.
They should be in strong consideration for an at large bid.
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Post by chrismoses on Feb 5, 2024 13:33:51 GMT -5
Why though? Richmond is 16-6 and 8-1 in Atlantic 10 play. They have no bad losses. Their worst loss was AT Wichita State, that's not bad, certainly cancelled out by their best win vs. Dayton. They should be in strong consideration for an at large bid. Richmond is still very much in play, but they probably need to win 26 games to land in the tourney. Their remaining A10 schedule does them virtually no good. In all honesty, they have to be nearly perfect to get on the right side of the bubble. Right now their NET of 74 is decent, and they are 1-2 in Q1 games and 5-3 in Q2 with 1 Q3 loss and no Q4s. Richmond's remaining schedule is as follows: LaSalle -Q4 UMass- Q3 @gw - Q3 @uri - Q4 Davidson - Q3 slu - Q4 VCU - Q3 Saint Joe's - Q3 @mason - Q2 If VCU and SJU hold at Q3s and they only lose one game, It still might not be enough.... Say they win every game but Saint Joe's. That would put them at 24-7 overall and 16-2 in conference with a 1-2 Q1 record, 6-3 Q2 with 2 Q3 losses. Assuming they are the 2 seed, they'd play a team like Mason or us as the seven seed which gets you an additional Q2 win. Then they'd likely get the winner of the 3/6. That would be another Q2 victory. Then let's just say they lose to Dayton in the final. Final record would be 26-8... 1 Q1 win and 8 Q2 wins with 2 Q3 losses. A team with that resume would be at the mercy of other teams on the bubble. Most certainly not a shoe in. Given that, I think their AL hopes aren't great
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Post by kccgold on Feb 5, 2024 15:39:29 GMT -5
Why though? Richmond is 16-6 and 8-1 in Atlantic 10 play. They have no bad losses. Their worst loss was AT Wichita State, that's not bad, certainly cancelled out by their best win vs. Dayton. They should be in strong consideration for an at large bid. Richmond is still very much in play, but they probably need to win 26 games to land in the tourney. Their remaining A10 schedule does them virtually no good. In all honesty, they have to be nearly perfect to get on the right side of the bubble. Right now their NET of 74 is decent, and they are 1-2 in Q1 games and 5-3 in Q2 with 1 Q3 loss and no Q4s. Richmond's remaining schedule is as follows: LaSalle -Q4 UMass- Q3 @gw - Q3 @uri - Q4 Davidson - Q3 slu - Q4 VCU - Q3 Saint Joe's - Q3 @mason - Q2 If VCU and SJU hold at Q3s and they only lose one game, It still might not be enough.... Say they win every game but Saint Joe's. That would put them at 24-7 overall and 16-2 in conference with a 1-2 Q1 record, 6-3 Q2 with 2 Q3 losses. Assuming they are the 2 seed, they'd play a team like Mason or us as the seven seed which gets you an additional Q2 win. Then they'd likely get the winner of the 3/6. That would be another Q2 victory. Then let's just say they lose to Dayton in the final. Final record would be 26-8... 1 Q1 win and 8 Q2 wins with 2 Q3 losses. A team with that resume would be at the mercy of other teams on the bubble. Most certainly not a shoe in. Given that, I think their AL hopes aren't great I know it is to our benefit, this year anyway, but it makes zero sense that our NET ranking is better than Richmond's at this point in time. (69 / 74) They have more wins, more better wins, and no bad losses, we have 2. Oh and they beat us by 11 points in our only matchup. Yet we are ahead of them in NET. What the heck. We throttled UB and they only beat them by a handful so lets ignore everything else and put them behind us? What a stupid stupid system of ranking teams
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Post by Sipowicz on Feb 15, 2024 7:57:28 GMT -5
BONNIES move up 5 spots while Richmond drops 8.
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Post by BONA82.5 on Feb 18, 2024 8:19:06 GMT -5
A10 Teams (Updated 2/18/2024) TOP 10 ONLY
19 Dayton Atlantic 10 21-4 69 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 16-9 70 VCU Atlantic 10 17-8 73 Richmond Atlantic 10 18-7 85 George Mason Atlantic 10 16-8 91 UMASS Atlantic 10 16-9 97 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 16-10 101 Duquesne Atlantic 10 14-10 102 Loyola Atlantic 10 17-7 114 Davidson Atlantic 10 12-11
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Post by Sipowicz on Feb 20, 2024 20:56:20 GMT -5
UMass beats V C U by 22.
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Post by Sipowicz on Feb 25, 2024 9:23:32 GMT -5
For what it is worth: BONNIES moved up 8 spots in the Net from 78 to 70 with yesterday’s win.
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Post by BONA82.5 on Feb 25, 2024 9:43:11 GMT -5
MORE - For what its worth ...
A10 Teams (Updated 2/25/2024) TOP 10 ONLY
20 Dayton Atlantic 10 21-5 70 St. Bonaventure Atlantic 10 17-10 71 Richmond Atlantic 10 20-7 78 VCU Atlantic 10 17-9 85 UMASS Atlantic 10 17-10 86 George Mason Atlantic 10 17-9 93 Loyola Atlantic 10 19-7 99 Saint Joseph's Atlantic 10 17-10 105 Duquesne Atlantic 10 15-11 111 Davidson Atlantic 10 13-12
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